Net migration in 2013
Net migration will fall to around 140,000 this year, according to new statistical analysis from the think tank IPPR.
This follows a fall of over 25% in the year to March 2012, but analysis suggests that net migration will begin to rise again in 2014, although final figures for that year will not be available until after the 2015 General Election.
According to the IPPR, official figures released in 2013 are likely to show that immigration fell further in the second half of 2012, driven by a combination of policy changes (especially on non-EU students) and continuing tough economic conditions. IPPR expects these trends to continue into 2013. IPPR says that while these falls in net migration would be significant, they would still leave the Government some way from meeting their target.
IPPR expects 2013 to see:
- Further significant falls in non-EU student immigration.
- Continued steady declines in non-EU immigration for work and family reasons.
- A modest increase in immigration from the EU.
- A small increase in asylum claims.
- Rising net emigration by UK nationals, and modest increases in emigration by non-EU nationals.